First results of 2022

For Stanford it’s already over: USC 41 at Stanford 28 on Sep 10, 2022 Fresno State at USC on Sep 17, 2022 San José State at Fresno State on Oct 14, 2022 San Diego State at Fresno State on Oct 28, 2022 Stanford at UCLA on Oct 28, 2022 California at USC on Nov 04,… Continue reading First results of 2022

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Is anybody any good?

After Week One it’s still hard to say. Stanford couldn’t contain an FCS team for the first half. San Jose State needed the last few minutes to beat their FCS team. San Diego State lost as home favorites. So maybe not those guys. But somebody’s got to win this thing. Let’s take a look at… Continue reading Is anybody any good?

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2022 preview

I’ve already run the 2022 schedule once so I won’t go through it all again but I need an excuse to show Midjourney’s interpretation of an Aztec triumph: This is the “stock” predictor: Monte Carlo [Elo Predictor] Simulation: UCLA 4978 [49%] Fresno State 2688 [26%] California 855 [8%] San Diego State 780 [7%] USC 596… Continue reading 2022 preview

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The 1940s

You can have the SMU team that never left Texas, we’ve got an all-timer California season in 1943 Del Monte Pre-Flight. They never left California and ended up ranked number #8 nationwide. Their one loss was at Pacific in Stockton, who were ranked #10 at the time. Pacific finished the year ranked 19. They crushed… Continue reading The 1940s

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Illustrating 2021

I bought a subscription to one of the new hyped AI illustration engines, MidJourney. Let’s deliver Fresno State their 2021 MCC trophy as promised. Here are some queries that didn’t really work: “a giant golden championship trophy cup in Fresno, California surrounded by bulldogs”“Fresno State University campus seen from above with a giant golden cup… Continue reading Illustrating 2021

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Realignment

I was not expecting breaking college football news today but that’s what we all got: USC and UCLA are leaving the Pac-12 for the Big 10. You can find all the takes and coverage elsewhere. (Here is Wilner’s aftermath column.) What does it mean for the Mythical California Cup? As Wilner says, “The California Four,… Continue reading Realignment

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Docker and a regression

Let’s make a docker container out of this thing. The key win from docker is it gives you a headache-free way to “just run” something and not worry about the dependencies and install/uninstall and binary incompatibility and all that great stuff. So in our case it’s a bit of overkill. I’ve taken pains to keep… Continue reading Docker and a regression

2022 forecasting

The 2022 schedule is up in the cfbd API so let’s try a run: $ python3 ./mcc_schedule.py -v USC at Stanford on Sep 09, 2022 Fresno State at USC on Sep 16, 2022 San José State at Fresno State on Oct 14, 2022 San Diego State at Fresno State on Oct 28, 2022 Stanford at… Continue reading 2022 forecasting

Faking 2022

I am impatient for cfbd to populate the 2022 schedules so I can see how the Monte Carlo stuff performs on “fresh powder.” The good news is with the testing harness we can fake up the announced schedule without too much trouble. This should be it: Doing the teams as unstructured tuples is kind of… Continue reading Faking 2022

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1951 San Francisco

We’re back with more results from the 1950s. 1951 really stands out. The University of San Francisco won the title going 5-0. Here is the verbose run: $ python3 ./mcc_schedule.py -v -s 1951 -e 1951 San José State 2 at San Francisco 39 on Sep 20, 1951 Santa Clara 0 at California 34 on Sep… Continue reading 1951 San Francisco